Research Article |
Corresponding author: Jakub Fedorčák ( jakub.fedorcak@unipo.sk ) Academic editor: Neil Coughlan
© 2023 Jakub Fedorčák, Peter Križek, Ján Koščo.
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Citation:
Fedorčák J, Križek P, Koščo J (2023) Which factors influence spatio–temporal changes in the distribution of invasive and native species of genus Carassius? Aquatic Invasions 18(2): 219-230. https://doi.org/10.3391/ai.2023.18.2.105240
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Within the genus Carassius Jarocki, 1822 , the crucian carp (C. carassius L., 1758) occurs naturally in the northern part of Middle Danube Basin (Austria, Morava, Slovakia). This species has the least concern status in this region, but observations in the last decades suggest that it is very close to extinction here. The distribution of crucian carp is limited to a small number of vanishing lentic habitats (oxbow lakes, marshlands). These biotopes are in the last stage of succession due to the drying up of the landscape and a reduction in the creation of new natural alluvial habitats. The non-native cyprinid, C. gibelio (Bloch, 1782), known as gibel carp and Prussian carp, has gradually become eudominant in a wide spectrum of habitats/biotopes since the 1960s Several biological adaptations of non-native species are generally considered the strong basis for the mass spreading in the invaded area. The other side of the expansion of non-native C. gibelio is affected by anthropic activities associated with fish farming, translocation and stocking the fish in open water ecosystems. In this study, we analysed historical scientific data on the distribution of Carassius spp. published from the 19th century to the present from the mentioned areas. The results suggest that the number of records of invasive C. gibelio has gradually increase in rivers, regulated channels and creeks, which could be considered as natural pathways of spreading. However, the presence of invasive C. gibelio in artificial biotopes (fishponds, reservoirs) is continuous from the 1960s. In the area mentioned, the artificial biotopes are managed by national fisheries associations and relate to the historical way of farming in Central and Eastern European countries. To show the current state of the fishing grounds of the Slovak Angling Association, we a created the distribution map based on the Carassius spp. catches recorded in last two decades.
Danube basin, crucian carp, angling, fish farms, habitat lost, climate
Fish species of the genus Carassius Jarocki, 1822, have acquired a wide range of statuses across the world, including ornamental (
In the present study, to identify proportional temporal changes in species distributions for native and non-native Carassius species in relation to habitat (biotope), we analysed historical spatio-temporal distribution data from parts of the Middle Danube basin (i.e., presence/absence data for Slovakia and the surrounding river catchments). Further, we considered fisheries Carassius catch data recorded by the Slovak Angling Association (Slovak AA) during the last two decades. In doing so, we aimed to comparatively assess historical and recent presence/absence data pertaining to native and non-native Carassius spp.
For the period 1875–2021, a total of 836 sources for presence/absence records for the distribution of Carassius species in Slovakia and surrounding watersheds (Middle Danube basin) were assessed (Suppl. material
For analysis of the data we used the non-linear Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) with a binomial family (R environment, packages – mgcv(), visreg()). Changes in the presence/absence of Carassius spp. were modelled depending on the time factor in interaction with the habitat type (Table
The proportion of presence (1) and absence (0) data (y-axis, one meaning 100% of the information) from the literature that mentions native (C. carassius) and non-native Carassius species between the years 1875 and 2021 (x-axis) in the river basins of Slovakia and border regions (Middle Danube basin).
Non-linear GAM-b presence/absence (y-axis) plot for the historical information (x-axis; 1955–2021) of the Carassius species: A) native C. carassius; B) non-native using the two-way interaction between historical data and type of habitat (biotope) recorded (type of habitat in multi-plots). The red curves describes statistically significant changes in the proportion of information from the specific habitats.
Approximate significance of smooth terms of generalized additive models (GAMs, binomial family) and a comparison of the statistical models (related to Figure
Model Fit | GLMM family | Response | Explanatory | edf | χ2 | p | AIC | df |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | binomial (logit) | presence/absence of Carassius spp. | s(year) - spline parameter year, k = 16 - Model rank, by = biotope | 649.1 | 41.5 | |||
+ biotope | ||||||||
s(year):biotope channels | 8.6 | 40.5 | < 0.001 | |||||
s(year):biotope creeks | 1 | 13 | < 0.001 | |||||
s(year):biotope reservoir | 2.8 | 0.01 | > 0.99 | |||||
s(year):biotope oxbows | 8.3 | 11.8 | > 0.32 | |||||
s(year):biotope rivers | 9.9 | 23.6 | < 0.05 | |||||
s(year):biotope ponds | 2.8 | 0.06 | > 0.99 | |||||
s(year):biotope pits | 1 | 8.2 | < 0.005 | |||||
2 | s(year) - spline parameter year, k = 16 - Model rank | 652.3 | 19.1 | |||||
+ biotope | ||||||||
1 | s(year) - spline parameter year | 666.2 | 14 | |||||
+ biotope |
Analysis of 836 scientific observation-based data recorded between 1875 and 2021 revealed changes in the proportion of native and the non-native Carassius species recorded in literature sources (Figure
Spatio–temporal patterns of the distribution of the native C. carassius (green squares) and non-native Carassius spp. (red points) in the river basins of Slovakia (constructed based on scientific literature data – Suppl. material
Parametric coefficients of the Generalized Additive Model related to GAM-b, Table
Explanatory (Intercept) | Estimate (C. carassius/non-native) | Std. Error | z-value (C. carassius/non-native) | Pr (> IzI) |
---|---|---|---|---|
intercept | 0.06/-0.06 | 1.91 | 0.031/-0.031 | 0.975 |
s(year):biotope creeks | -1.26/1.26 | 1.94 | -0.651/0.651 | 0.515 |
s(year):biotope reservoirs | -121.34/121.34 | 1683.06 | -0.072/0.072 | 0.943 |
s(year):biotope oxbows | 0.51/-0.51 | 2.25 | 0.225/-0.255 | 0.822 |
s(year):biotope rivers | -3.65/3.65 | 3.1 | -1.212/1.121 | 0.225 |
s(year):biotope ponds | -136.09/136.09 | 687.43 | -0.198/0.198 | 0.843 |
s(year):biotope pits | -2.9/2.9 | 2 | -1.045/1.045 | 0.296 |
The distribution area of limnophilic fish species (e.g., C. carassius, Misgurnus fossilis (Linnaeus, 1758), Umbra krameri (Walbaum, 1792), etc.) in the Slovak Danube basins is one of the northernmost occurrences within the Middle Danube catchment area (
Trends in the literature for creeks and gravel (mining) pits are continuous and increasing, which indicates the spatial and temporal spread from main sources (rivers, ponds, reservoirs). In the case of reservoirs and ponds, temporal changes as recorded within the literature are not significant (Table
Based on historical data analysis, we can consider the Slovak population of C. carassius as critically endangered, with a negative outlook. In conclusion, based on historical data, we call for an urgent re-assessment of the IUCN status for C. carassius throughout the Danube River basin. In the case of non-native Carassius species, we suggest: i) the prevention of their spread from fish farms into open waters through improved biosecurity protocols; ii) a reduction in population density across biotopes connected to common carp farms (e.g., drainage channels), with management by angling associations for fishing grounds; and iii) acceleration of the adoption of appropriate legislative to prohibit unethical live bait fishing, with strict implementation for compliance.
This work was supported by grants of the Scientific Grant Agency of the Slovak Republic under the grants VEGA 1-0364-20 and the Slovak Research and Development Agency under the project APVV SK-AT-20-0009.
JF conceived and designed the study, gathered literature data, conducted statistical analysis and wrote the paper. PK gathered data of the Slovak Angling Association and created the distributional maps. JK provided his own databases and literature and supervised the study concept.
Own data provided in this study were authorised through a permit from the Ministry of Environment of the Slovak republic, special yearly permits for electrofishing and in the accordance with all ethical principles.
We would also like to thank the National Scholarship Programme of the Slovak Republic (App. no. 39062) and all the colleagues who helped us or provided data. We are also especially grateful to the reviewers and the editor for their careful reading of our manuscript and their helpful comments.
Distribution of native and invasive Carassius spp. (Danube River basin)
Data type: table (Excel spreadsheet)